Decay watch: 2002 April 28

From: Alan Pickup (alan@wingar.demon.co.uk)
Date: Sun Apr 28 2002 - 12:33:55 EDT

  • Next message: Ron Lee: "Superbird A Obs, 29 April 02 UT"

    Once more, a summary of the latest update to my decay Watch page:
    
    _____________________________________________________________________
    Object: #11821 = 80- 44 A = Cosmos 1184
    
    Decay predictions:
    Source   Prediction made    Predicted decay at      Latitude Longitude
                    UTC                UTC                  deg      deg
    SpaceCom   Apr 28 13:18     Apr 29 01:32 +-9h        16.3 M   108.2 E
    SatEvo     Apr 28 16:15     Apr 28 23:48 +-3h        31.3 S   125.2 E
    
    Latest elset:
    Cosmos 1184      5.0  1.5  0.0  5.4 v   12       173 x 162 km
    1 11821U 80044A   02118.57176740  .09289206 -93093-6  80093-3 0  4061
    2 11821  81.1383 344.9771 0008293 245.2871 114.7576 16.39377986200805
    
    SatEvo prediction:
    Cosmos 1184      5.0  1.5  0.0  5.4 v   12       159 x 151 km
    1 11821U 80044A   02118.75461267  .16507272  23091+0  56423-3 0 94068
    2 11821  81.1368 344.7200 0006611 244.5520 115.3796 16.44153867200838
    Cosmos 1184      5.0  1.5  0.0  5.4 v   12       152 x 145 km
    1 11821U 80044A   02118.81543643  .22365330  46506+0  49082-3 0 94067
    2 11821  81.1360 344.6341 0005787 244.3062 115.6340 16.46476160200842
    Cosmos 1184      5.0  1.5  0.0  5.4 v   12       143 x 137 km
    1 11821U 80044A   02118.87615776  .36733096  13653+1  44980-3 0 94063
    2 11821  81.1349 344.5480 0004611 244.0598 115.8926 16.49906758200855
    Cosmos 1184      5.0  1.5  0.0  5.4 v   12       122 x 119 km
    1 11821U 80044A   02118.93670175 1.20099287  17981+2  51390-3 0 94067
    2 11821  81.1329 344.4614 0002411 243.8125 116.1627 16.57317037200868
    
    Note: I have this decaying northbound over the eastern part of Western
    Australia near the end of the final SatEvo-predicted rev above.
    _____________________________________________________________________
    Object: #27410 = 02- 17 B = Cosmos 2388 Molniya-M r
    
    Decay predictions:
    Source   Prediction made    Predicted decay at      Latitude Longitude
                    UTC                UTC                  deg      deg
    SpaceCom   Apr 28 09:31     Apr 29 10:01 +-16h       42.3 N    26.6 E
    SatEvo     Apr 28 16:20     Apr 29 10:03 +-6h        58.9 N    55.2 E
    
    Latest elset:
    Cosmos 2388 Molniya-M r                          222 x 165 km
    1 27410U 02017B   02118.49090441  .05787716  85474-5  98115-3 0   797
    2 27410  62.8067   9.1000 0043069 119.5155 241.0461 16.29568914  4210
    
    SatEvo prediction: See Decay Watch page.
    (..ends)
    Cosmos 2388 Molniya-M r                          161 x 134 km
    1 27410U 02017B   02119.28529875  .26873732  52883+0  38035-3 0 90796
    2 27410  62.8012   5.8117 0021200 119.6751 240.5360 16.46986986  4346
    Cosmos 2388 Molniya-M r                          147 x 126 km
    1 27410U 02017B   02119.34593693  .41411669  11096+1  34452-3 0 90797
    2 27410  62.8000   5.5561 0016516 119.6876 240.4768 16.51014468  4350
    Cosmos 2388 Molniya-M r                          124 x 112 km
    1 27410U 02017B   02119.40638011 1.00473666  10683+2  35359-3 0 90798
    2 27410  62.7982   5.2995 0009030 119.7002 240.3897 16.58073745  4364
    
    Note: I show this decaying over the Ural Mountains, Russia, on the
    approach to northern apex on the final SatEvo-predicted rev above.
    _____________________________________________________________________
    
    
    Alan
    -- 
    Alan Pickup / COSPAR 2707:  55.8968N   3.1989W   +208m   (WGS84 datum)
    Edinburgh  / SatEvo & elsets:    http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/
    Scotland  / Decay Watch: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/dkwatch/
              *
    
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