Decay watch: 2002 April 27

From: Alan Pickup (alan@wingar.demon.co.uk)
Date: Sat Apr 27 2002 - 12:26:16 EDT

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    A summary of the latest update to my Decay Watch page:
    _____________________________________________________________________
    Object: #11821 = 80- 44 A = Cosmos 1184
    
    Decay predictions:
    Source   Prediction made    Predicted decay at      Latitude Longitude
                    UTC                UTC                  deg      deg
    SpaceCom   Apr 27 15:21     Apr 29 06:18 +-1d        68.6 M   169.9 W
    SatEvo     Apr 27 16:10     Apr 29 01:13 +-10h
    
    Latest elset:
    Cosmos 1184      5.0  1.5  0.0  5.4 v   12       200 x 192 km
    1 11821U 80044A   02117.59146315  .03065796 -94218-6  78631-3 0  3993
    2 11821  81.1470 346.3346 0006432 241.2934 118.7700 16.28768430200646
    
    SatEvo prediction: See Decay Watch page.
    _____________________________________________________________________
    Object: #27410 = 02- 17 B = Cosmos 2388 Molniya-M r
    
    Decay predictions:
    Source   Prediction made    Predicted decay at      Latitude Longitude
                    UTC                UTC                  deg      deg
    SpaceCom   Apr 27 13:24     Apr 29 12:47 +-1d         7.4 N    39.5 W
    SatEvo     Apr 27 16:20     Apr 29 14:45 +-14h
    
    Latest elset:
    Cosmos 2388 Molniya-M r                          256 x 177 km
    1 27410U 02017B   02117.56781414  .03251555  84224-5  10276-2 0   733
    2 27410  62.8102  12.8575 0059878 119.5405 241.1859 16.20994028  4066
    
    SatEvo prediction: See Decay Watch page.
    _____________________________________________________________________
    Object: #27417 = 02- 20 B = Soyuz TM-34 Soyuz-U rocket
    
    Final decay analyses:
    Source   Prediction made    Predicted decay at      Latitude Longitude
                    UTC                UTC                  deg      deg
    SpaceCom   Apr 26 18:20     Apr 26 17:46 +-7m        49.0 N   102.0 W
    SatEvo     Apr 27 16:00     Apr 26 17:45 +-10m       47.9 N   108.8 W
    
    Final elset:
    Soyuz TM-34 r    6.7  2.7  0.0  4.5 d   40       147 x 69 km
    1 27417U 02020B   02116.72786211  .99999999  12719-4  21711-3 0   115
    2 27417  51.6459 311.4470 0059649 147.4811 213.5640 16.62014688   241
    
    Note: The final elset shows it on the verge of decay. I put re-entry
    over northern Montana on this rev.
    _____________________________________________________________________
    
    
    Alan
    -- 
    Alan Pickup / COSPAR 2707:  55.8968N   3.1989W   +208m   (WGS84 datum)
    Edinburgh  / SatEvo & elsets:    http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/
    Scotland  / Decay Watch: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/dkwatch/
              *
    
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