A summary of the latest update to my Decay Watch page, including the
final notice for Starshine 2 and the addition of the Soyuz TM-24 rocket,
which is already down. Check the Decay Watch page for more info,
including predicted elsets.
____________________________________________________________________
Object: #11821 = 80- 44 A = Cosmos 1184
Decay predictions:
Source Prediction made Predicted decay at Latitude Longitude
UTC UTC deg deg
SpaceCom Apr 26 12:23 Apr 29 04:50 +-2d 65.3 M 144.2 W
SatEvo Apr 26 18:30 Apr 29 02:46 +-17h
Latest elset:
Cosmos 1184 5.0 1.5 0.0 5.4 v 12 215 x 207 km
1 11821U 80044A 02116.54508499 .02193877 -93109-6 90901-3 0 3940
2 11821 81.1453 347.7718 0005679 225.4856 134.5705 16.23163498200474
_____________________________________________________________________
Object: #26996 = 01- 54 B = Starshine 2
Final decay analyses:
Source Prediction made Predicted decay at Latitude Longitude
UTC UTC deg deg
SpaceCom Apr 26 12:37 Apr 26 10:55 +-1m 43.7 N 37.9 W
SatEvo Apr 26 18:10 Apr 26 11:10 +-25m 32.7 N 58.1 E
Final elset:
Starshine 2 0.5 0.0 0.0 9.5 d 0.5 136 x 135 km
1 26996U 01054B 02116.38216024 .19194351 12724-4 17143-3 0 2230
2 26996 51.6129 290.7669 0001006 83.4469 277.4496 16.51590970 20710
Note: The above elset shows this running 4 sec early against my final
pre-decay prediction. I show this decaying on a southbound pass over
Iran on the orbit after the one above.
_____________________________________________________________________
Object: #27410 = 02- 17 B = Cosmos 2388 Molniya-M r
Decay predictions:
Source Prediction made Predicted decay at Latitude Longitude
UTC UTC deg deg
SpaceCom Apr 26 14:29 Apr 29 13:33 +-2d 14.0 S 132.4 E
SatEvo Apr 26 18:45 Apr 29 14:38 +-22h
Latest elset:
Cosmos 2388 Molniya-M r 281 x 185 km
1 27410U 02017B 02116.51710364 .02354515 83279-5 10677-2 0 668
2 27410 62.8115 17.0965 0073016 118.3197 242.5680 16.15024490 3893
_____________________________________________________________________
Object: #27417 = 02- 20 B = Soyuz TM-34 Soyuz-U rocket
Decay predictions:
Source Prediction made Predicted decay at Latitude Longitude
UTC UTC deg deg
SpaceCom Apr 26 16:30 Apr 26 17:50 +-53m 48.7 N 105.6 W
SatEvo Apr 26 18:50 Apr 26 17:40 +-40m 37.0 N 131.8 W
Latest (final?) elset:
Soyuz TM-34 r 6.7 2.7 0.0 4.5 d 40 153 x 145 km
1 27417U 02020B 02116.60675292 .20406926 12582-4 43295-3 0 103
2 27417 51.6123 312.1365 0006465 87.5542 272.6381 16.46427240 223
Note: I estimate that this decayed while northbound to the W of San
Francisco on the orbit following this SatEvo predicted rev:
Soyuz TM-34 r 6.7 2.7 0.0 4.5 d 40 141 x 135 km
1 27417U 02020B 02116.66735155 .45356264 21139+1 45547-3 0 90105
2 27417 51.6112 311.7897 0004945 87.8134 272.2433 16.50632584 236
SpaceCom's final pre-decay prediction was for decay a few minutes
later near the Montana-Saskatchewan border. The final SpaceCom notice
has yet to appear.
_____________________________________________________________________
Alan
--
Alan Pickup / COSPAR 2707: 55.8968N 3.1989W +208m (WGS84 datum)
Edinburgh / SatEvo & elsets: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/
Scotland / Decay Watch: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/dkwatch/
*
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This archive was generated by hypermail 2b29 : Fri Apr 26 2002 - 15:11:23 EDT