Starshine 2 - Decay Forecast

From: Harro Zimmer (Harro.Zimmer@t-online.de)
Date: Mon Apr 22 2002 - 16:42:00 EDT

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    Report time 20:14 UTC
    
    The lifetime of 2001-054B (#26996) Starshine 2 is now only 
    a few days. During the last weeka Johnathan P. Boers from Naval Space
    Command and I have issued frequently predictions
    which appeared at the Starshine home page:
       http://www.azinet.com/starshine/starshine_reentry.html
    
    My fresh forecast (Epoch April 22, 03:38 UTC) shows
             27 April, 00:06 UTC +/- 07 hours  (NRLMSISE-00)
             26 April, 22:56 UTC +/- 07 hours   (Jacchia-70)
    My calculations were done with the two different atmospheric models.
    
    J.P. Boers prediction (Epoch April 22, 11:22 UTC) delivers:
             27 April, 00:53 UTC
    We are using both the special perturbation technique. In general
    our methods are similiar but different in some details.Daily
    updates will follow.
    
    
     
    
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