Decay watch: 2002 April 2

From: Alan Pickup (alan@wingar.demon.co.uk)
Date: Tue Apr 02 2002 - 10:29:44 EST

  • Next message: Pinizzotto,Russell: "Some Random Observations"

    The following is taken from the updated notice for the Shenzhou 3 rocket
    on my Decay Watch page.
    _____________________________________________________________________
    Object: #27398 = 02- 14 B = Shenzhou 3 CZ-2F rocket
    
    Decay predictions:
    Source   Prediction made    Predicted decay at      Latitude Longitude
                    UTC                UTC                  deg      deg
    SpaceCom   Apr  2 11:02     Apr  2 17:31 +-5h        24.8 S   147.1 W
    SatEvo     Apr  2 15:10     Apr  2 17:41 +-2h        12.4 N   106.5 W
    
    Latest elset:
    Shenzhou 3 r    10.0  3.0  0.0  4.0 d   20       181 x 151 km
    1 27398U 02014B   02092.36981436  .09609485  85413-5  53128-3 0   348
    2 27398  42.3705 338.3135 0022793 194.7670 165.2653 16.39885803  1263
    
    SatEvo prediction:
    Shenzhou 3 r    10.0  3.0  0.0  4.0 d   20       163 x 140 km
    1 27398U 02014B   02092.55221754  .20776655  32221+0  42547-3 0 90341
    2 27398  42.3692 337.0817 0016910 196.2086 163.7372 16.45413260  1298
    Shenzhou 3 r    10.0  3.0  0.0  4.0 d   20       153 x 135 km
    1 27398U 02014B   02092.61286116  .28005361  44834+0  35884-3 0 90347
    2 27398  42.3685 336.6696 0014035 196.6909 163.2629 16.48343732  1305
    Shenzhou 3 r    10.0  3.0  0.0  4.0 d   20       139 x 126 km
    1 27398U 02014B   02092.67337849  .45731314  20983+1  31713-3 0 90343
    2 27398  42.3675 336.2563 0010223 197.1745 162.7908 16.52502619  1313
    
    Note: The latest elset shows this running 3 sec late against
    yesterday's prediction. I show this decaying northbound soon after
    the equator crossing at the end of the final SatEvo-predicted rev
    above. This places it a little SW of Mexico on a track that would
    carry it close to Mexico City at 17:44 UTC and Jacksonville, Florida,
    at 17:48. The uncertainty is still more than one orbit.
    _____________________________________________________________________
    
    
    Alan
    -- 
    Alan Pickup / COSPAR 2707:  55.8968N   3.1989W   +208m   (WGS84 datum)
    Edinburgh  / SatEvo & elsets:    http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/
    Scotland  / Decay Watch: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/dkwatch/
              *
    
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    This archive was generated by hypermail 2b29 : Tue Apr 02 2002 - 10:30:40 EST