See my Decay Watch page for the full story... _____________________________________________________________________ Object: #5143 = 71- 31 B = Meteor 1-8 rocket Decay predictions: Source Prediction made Predicted decay at Latitude Longitude UTC UTC deg deg SpaceCom Apr 18 10:33 Apr 18 11:46 +-2h 17.5 S 130.2 W SatEvo Apr 18 19:15 Apr 18 11:46 +-25m 0.0 128.5 W Final elset: Meteor 1-8 r 3.8 2.6 0.0 5.1 v 9.0 133 x 121 km 1 05143U 71031B 01108.44032855 .29143587 -95076-6 16630-3 0 5422 2 05143 81.2050 254.8481 0009656 254.6453 165.1562 16.54772126646483 Note: The final elset shows it running only 18 sec early against yesterday's SatEvo prediction. I place the decay near the northbound equator crossing over the eastern Pacific at the end of the above orbit. If it remained aloft, it would have passed northwards across the NW USA from northern California at 11:56 to Seattle, Washington, at 11:58. SpaceCom's final notice has yet to appear. _____________________________________________________________________ Object: #15957 = 85- 70 E = Raduga 16 aux motor Final decay analyses: Source Prediction made Predicted decay at Latitude Longitude UTC UTC deg deg SpaceCom Apr 18 13:31 Apr 18 11:17 +-5h 42.4 S 163.9 E SatEvo Apr 18 19:30 Apr 18 14:23 +-3h 36.7 S 168.9 W Final elset: Raduga 16 aux motor 358 x 111 km 1 15957U 85070E 01108.11795219 .20918190 00000-0 27214-3 0 3298 2 15957 46.5654 301.2399 0186656 276.9169 81.1122 16.14633974186608 Note: The final elset shows it running 29 sec early against yesterday's prediction. SpaceCom appears to have lost it several hours before the decay. I show this decaying northbound over the southern Pacific on the last of these SatEvo-predicted orbits: Raduga 16 aux motor 264 x 107 km 1 15957U 85070E 01108.42588145 .40497049 40764+0 34848-3 0 93297 2 15957 46.5607 299.3579 0119418 278.7832 79.8663 16.32584661186659 Raduga 16 aux motor 236 x 106 km 1 15957U 85070E 01108.48700863 .50961016 74742+0 36774-3 0 93290 2 15957 46.5594 298.9775 0099617 279.1605 79.7139 16.38108765186669 Raduga 16 aux motor 199 x 103 km 1 15957U 85070E 01108.54791100 .75026686 25842+1 40676-3 0 93297 2 15957 46.5569 298.5952 0073675 279.5398 79.6282 16.45532560186674 _____________________________________________________________________ Alan -- Alan Pickup / COSPAR 2707: 55d53m48.7s N 3d11m51.2s W 156m asl Edinburgh / SatEvo & elsets: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/ Scotland / Decay Watch: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/dkwatch/ * ----------------------------------------------------------------- Unsubscribe from SeeSat-L by sending a message with 'unsubscribe' in the SUBJECT to SeeSat-L-request@lists.satellite.eu.org http://www2.satellite.eu.org/seesat/seesatindex.html
This archive was generated by hypermail 2b29 : Wed Apr 18 2001 - 12:41:24 PDT