Decay watch: 2001 Apr 17

From: Alan Pickup (alan@wingar.demon.co.uk)
Date: Tue Apr 17 2001 - 11:11:12 PDT

  • Next message: Jonathan T Wojack: "Re: Observations"

    My Decay Watch page has been updated again...
    
    _____________________________________________________________________
    Object: #5143 = 71- 31 B = Meteor 1-8 rocket
    
    Decay predictions:
    Source   Prediction made    Predicted decay at      Latitude Longitude
                   UTC                UTC                  deg      deg
    SpaceCom   Apr 16 15:22     Apr 18 13:40 +-1d        78.8 N    27.8 W
    SatEvo     Apr 17 17:50     Apr 18 13:19 +-6h       20.5 N   148.5 W
    
    Latest elset:
    Meteor 1-8 r     3.8  2.6  0.0  5.1 v  9.0       180 x 169 km
    1 05143U 71031B   01107.57726077  .04247953 -96614-6  49218-3 0  5322
    2 05143  81.1938 256.0522 0008154 245.6420 114.3992 16.36756770646348
    
    SatEvo prediction: See Decay Watch page.
    ..(ends)
    Meteor 1-8 r     3.8  2.6  0.0  5.1 v  9.0       146 x 140 km
    1 05143U 71031B   01108.36981565  .16917490  29202+0  26323-3 0 95320
    2 05143  81.1897 254.9454 0004412 242.4517 117.5035 16.48507294646473
    Meteor 1-8 r     3.8  2.6  0.0  5.1 v  9.0       139 x 134 km
    1 05143U 71031B   01108.43047701  .24777152  67638+0  25851-3 0 95321
    2 05143  81.1889 254.8597 0003703 242.2046 117.7578 16.50969607646486
    Meteor 1-8 r     3.8  2.6  0.0  5.1 v  9.0       128 x 124 km
    1 05143U 71031B   01108.49102355  .49048166  23341+1  28010-3 0 95321
    2 05143  81.1876 254.7737 0002609 241.9569 118.0166 16.55126048646494
    
    Note: The latest elset shows it running only 8 sec late against 
    the SatEvo prediction I posted yesterday. I show it decaying northbound
    to the E of Hawaii a little beyond the end of the final SatEvo-predicted
    orbit, above.
    _____________________________________________________________________
    Object: #15957 = 85- 70 E = Raduga 16 aux motor
    
    Decay predictions:
    Source   Prediction made    Predicted decay at      Latitude Longitude
                   UTC                UTC                  deg      deg
    SpaceCom   Apr 17 11:52     Apr 18 10:33 +-14h       41.0 N     9.0 W
    SatEvo     Apr 17 18:05     Apr 18 15:52 +-7h        38.4 S   164.9 E
    
    Latest elset:
    Raduga 16 aux motor                              453 x 119 km
    1 15957U 85070E   01107.61969281  .14775373  99734-5  34145-3 0  3233
    2 15957  46.5642 304.2339 0250650 269.6910  87.4863 15.95806514186444
    
    SatEvo prediction: See Decay Watch page.
    ..(ends_
    Raduga 16 aux motor                              237 x 109 km
    1 15957U 85070E   01108.54927710  .47368070  65758+0  39886-3 0 93234
    2 15957  46.5531 298.6328 0097439 275.2464  83.6425 16.37251531186594
    Raduga 16 aux motor                              203 x 107 km
    1 15957U 85070E   01108.61021663  .67860222  20461+1  43185-3 0 93232
    2 15957  46.5508 298.2508 0074065 275.6254  83.5304 16.44075179186602
    Raduga 16 aux motor                              144 x 99 km
    1 15957U 85070E   01108.67085779 2.12060880  50000+2  63573-3 0 93236
    2 15957  46.5477 297.8658 0034904 276.0074  83.5948 16.56829158186613
    
    Note: The latest elset shows it running 9 sec late against yesterday's 
    prediction. I predict that this will decay while northbound over the
    Tasman Sea, between Australia and New Zealand, on the penultimate of 
    these SatEvo predicted orbits.
    _____________________________________________________________________
    
    
    Alan
    -- 
    Alan Pickup / COSPAR 2707:  55d53m48.7s N   3d11m51.2s W      156m asl
    Edinburgh  / SatEvo & elsets:    http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/
    Scotland  / Decay Watch: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/dkwatch/
             *
    
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    This archive was generated by hypermail 2b29 : Tue Apr 17 2001 - 11:15:41 PDT