Decay watch: 2001 Apr 15

From: Alan Pickup (alan@wingar.demon.co.uk)
Date: Sun Apr 15 2001 - 11:54:58 PDT

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    SpaceCom is posting decay warnings for the following two objects - check
    my Decay Watch WWW page for my predicted elsets.
    _____________________________________________________________________
    Object: #5143 = 71- 31 B = Meteor 1-8 rocket
    
    Decay predictions:
    Source   Prediction made    Predicted decay at      Latitude Longitude
                   UTC                UTC                  deg      deg
    SpaceCom   Apr 15 17:41     Apr 18 17:41 +-2d         6.7 N   144.0 E
    SatEvo     Apr 15 18:45     Apr 18 11:05 +-15h
    
    Latest elset:
    Meteor 1-8 r     3.8  2.6  0.0  5.1 v  9.0       206 x 197 km
    1 05143U 71031B   01105.70909722  .01947183 -95406-6  59544-3 0  5190
    2 05143  81.1972 258.6194 0007092 230.0178 327.5225 16.26766250646033
    
    SatEvo prediction: See Decay Watch page.
    
    Note: This is well placed before dawn for observers at middle northern
    latitudes where eclipse exit occurs northbound near 41 deg N. It enters
    eclipse southbound over the Antarctic near 79 deg S.
    _____________________________________________________________________
    Object: #15957 = 85- 70 E = Raduga 16 aux motor
    
    Decay predictions:
    Source   Prediction made    Predicted decay at      Latitude Longitude
                   UTC                UTC                  deg      deg
    SpaceCom   Apr 15 12:10     Apr 18 08:40 +-2d        18.3 S    53.6 W
    SatEvo     Apr 15 18:50     Apr 18 18:50 +-21h
    
    Latest elset:
    Raduga 16 aux motor                              679 x 127 km
    1 15957U 85070E   01105.58700623  .07494871  88406-5  35626-3 0  3096
    2 15957  46.5728 315.8041 0406812 258.2532  97.2490 15.54639402186129
    
    SatEvo prediction: See Decay Watch page.
    
    Note: This enters eclipse while southbound over the equator in
    the evening sky. Eclipse exit occurs northbound near 28 deg S
    before dawn.
    _____________________________________________________________________
    
    
    Alan
    -- 
    Alan Pickup / COSPAR 2707:  55d53m48.7s N   3d11m51.2s W      156m asl
    Edinburgh  / SatEvo & elsets:    http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/
    Scotland  / Decay Watch: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/dkwatch/
             *
    
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