SatEvo decay list #115 (issued 2001 April 14) This list of my satellite decay (re-entry) predictions and analyses is posted to the satellite observers mailing list, SeeSat-L, and to the Usenet newsgroup sci.astro.satellites.visual-observe. Information about SeeSat-L is available at http://www2.satellite.eu.org/seesat/seesatindex.html In most cases, the "Actual?" decay dates are my estimates based on the published orbital element sets ("elsets") over the object's final days. Objects are included in the "Predicted" column if I anticipate their decay by 2001 June 10, although some larger and/or more interesting decayers are included beyond that date. This and other recent decay lists are available on the WWW via my SatEvo page at http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/ Linked from this page are files containing recent elsets for all the Iridium satellites, all the objects in this decay list, plus elsets for other selected objects including the ISS, the Shuttle and all newly launched and/or catalogued objects. I also maintain a large file, satbase.tle, containing recent elsets for some 8,400 satellites. This is available in zipped form from the same address. I publish my own and SpaceCom's updated predictions for the larger decayers during their final days on my Decay Watch page at http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/dkwatch/ This includes my predicted elsets for these objects. # Designation Name ---- Decay (2001) ---- Predicted Actual? 22233 92- 79 C GPS 2-16 r2 March 24.74 26173 99- 57 BK CBERS LM4 deb March 25.4 23951 96- 40 D Arabsat 2A Spelda March 25.48 26326 99- 57 HK CBERS LM4 deb March 25.8 23029 94- 16 C GPS 2-24 r2 March 27.29 24385 94- 29 QN STEP-2 Pegasus deb March 29 26177 99- 57 BP CBERS LM4 deb March 29 25013 97- 63 A STEP M4 March 30.98 22464 92- 93 FD Cosmos 2272 Zenit deb April 1.5 25554 64- 49 J Cosmos 41 deb April 1 462 61- 15 EY Transit 4A deb April 1.7 19733 88-115 D Molniya 1-74 r2 April 2.47 21840 70- 25 QL Nimbus 4 ThAg deb April 4.1 26271 99- 57 FH CBERS LM4 deb April 5.0 23281 94- 61 C Cosmos 2292 deb April 5.3 23133 94- 35 B UHF F/O 3 r April 5.38 20471 88- 93 C Cosmos 1975 deb April 6.0 26258 99- 57 EU CBERS LM4 deb April 6.7 24099 94- 29 EW STEP-2 Pegasus deb April 7.0 26161 99- 57 AX CBERS LM4 deb April 8.1 26249 99- 57 EK CBERS LM4 deb April 8 26176 99- 57 BN CBERS LM4 deb April 8.9 26210 99- 57 CY CBERS LM4 deb April 8.9 17988 86- 19 NQ Spot 1 Ariane deb April 9.1 25392 98- 42 D Tubsat N SSN-23 deb April 9.5 26730 99- 51 D Ikonos 2 Athena deb April 10.9 Note 1 5034 70- 89 E Cosmos 374 deb April 14.5 Note 1 15553 69- 82 KS OPS 1807 ThAg deb April 14 5143 71- 31 B Meteor 1-8 r April 18 15957 85- 70 E Raduga 16 aux motor April 18 21841 70- 25 QM Nimbus 4 ThAg deb April 18 16547 64- 6 L Elektron 1 deb April 20 24359 94- 29 PL STEP-2 Pegasus deb April 20 5393 70- 25 KY Nimbus 4 ThAg deb April 21 647 61- 15 GY Transit 4A deb April 23 26653 99- 57 LK CBERS LM4 deb April 24 16546 64- 6 K Elektron 1 deb April 25 24204 94- 29 KF STEP-2 Pegasus deb April 26 10960 77- 53 B NTS 2 Altas r April 28 25107 97- 82 D Iridium 48 April 30 19641 87- 20 CF Cosmos 1823 deb May 2 26319 99- 57 HC CBERS LM4 deb May 2 26255 99- 57 ER CBERS LM4 deb May 5 11458 79- 67 B Cosmos 1116 r May 6 15027 84- 55 A Cosmos 1569 May 8 26424 99- 57 JV CBERS LM4 deb May 8 7487 73- 86 FT NOAA 3 Delta 1 deb May 10 8298 74- 89 BF Thorad Delta 1 deb May 13 24337 94- 29 NN STEP-2 Pegasus deb May 15 26502 00- 49 G Raduga-1 5 aux motor May 16 3524 68- 91 M Cosmos 249 deb May 17 17471 86- 19 HJ Spot 1 Ariane 1 deb May 17 20614 90- 43 H Macsat 1 Scout deb May 18 11252 79- 5 B Meteor 1-29 r May 19 22424 92- 93 DR Cosmos 2272 Zenit deb May 19 17094 79- 17 JH Solwind deb May 20 24000 94- 29 AV STEP-2 Pegasus deb May 22 24767 94- 29 ABM STEP-2 Pegasus deb May 23 24158 94- 29 HH STEP-2 Pegasus deb May 25 26723 01- 10 B STS-102 deb (PAD) May 25 14313 83- 90 A Molniya 3-21 May 26 23989 94- 29 AK STEP-2 Pegasus deb May 26 4726 70- 91 X Cosmos 375 deb May 30 20611 90- 43 E Macsat 1 Scout deb May 30 24247 94- 29 LW STEP-2 Pegasus deb May 31 26334 99- 57 HT CBERS LM4 deb June 1 26335 99- 57 HU CBERS LM4 deb June 6 12750 81- 53 CT Cosmos 1275 deb June 8 3683 68- 91 AJ Cosmos 249 deb June 9 23099 94- 27 A SROSS-C2 June 15 26739 01- 13 C Mars Odyssey Delta 2 r June 19 11266 79- 11 A Cosmos 1076 July 15955 85- 71 D Cosmos 1675 r July 16939 86- 68 D Molniya 1-68 r2 July 18980 88- 22 A Molniya 1-72 July 22048 92- 43 F Gorizont 26 aux motor July 22933 93- 78 D DBS 1 r July 23172 94- 38 E Cosmos 2282 aux motor July 19544 88- 90 D Molniya 3-33 r2 August 14319 83- 90 D Molniya 3-21 r2 October 14516 83-114 A Molniya 1-59 October Notes 1. SpaceCom has yet to confirm this decay. Alan -- Alan Pickup / COSPAR 2707: 55d53m48.7s N 3d11m51.2s W 156m asl Edinburgh / SatEvo & elsets: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/ Scotland / Decay Watch: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/dkwatch/ * ----------------------------------------------------------------- Unsubscribe from SeeSat-L by sending a message with 'unsubscribe' in the SUBJECT to SeeSat-L-request@lists.satellite.eu.org http://www2.satellite.eu.org/seesat/seesatindex.html
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