SatEvo decay list #98 (issued 2000 April 29) This list of my satellite decay (re-entry) predictions and analyses is posted to the satellite observers mailing list, SeeSat-L, and to the Usenet newsgroup sci.astro.satellites.visual-observe. Information about SeeSat-L is available at http://www.satellite.eu.org/seesat/seesatindex.html In most cases, the "Actual?" decay dates are my estimates based on the published orbital element sets ("elsets") over the object's final days. Objects are included in the "Predicted" column if I anticipate their decay by 2000 June 15, although some larger and/or more interesting decayers are included beyond that date. This and other recent decay lists are available on the WWW via my SatEvo page at http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/ Linked from this page are files containing recent elsets for all the Iridium satellites, all the objects in this decay list, plus elsets for other selected objects including Mir, ISS, the Shuttle and all newly launched and/or catalogued objects. I also maintain a large file, satbase.tle, containing recent elsets for more than 8,300 satellites. This is available in zipped form from the same address. I publish my own and SpaceCom's updated predictions for the larger decayers during their final days on my Decay Watch page at http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/dkwatch/ This includes my predicted elsets for these objects. # Designation Name ----- Decay (2000) ----- Predicted Actual? 24686 94- 29 AAU STEP-2 Pegasus deb April 17 26245 00- 19 B SESat Proton platform April 18.5 13577 78- 26 FQ Landsat 3 Delta 1 deb April 19.5 19435 86- 19 UY Spot 1 Ariane 1 deb April 19 22482 92- 93 FX Cosmos 2227 Zenit deb April 19.5 26244 00- 19 B SESat Proton r April 19.70 Note 3 15983 85- 74 D Molniya 1-64 r2 April 20.07 25906 93- 59 J Cosmos 2263 Proton deb April 20.7 4601 70- 25 D Thorad Agena D deb April 20.8 5021 70- 89 X Cosmos 374 deb April 21.8 17201 86- 19 BD Spot 1 Ariane 1 deb April 22.3 22412 92- 93 DD Cosmos 2227 Zenit deb April 23.8 20704 90- 54 E Gorizont 20 aux motor April 23.95 24579 94- 29 YF STEP-2 Pegasus deb April 24.4 Note 1 24153 94- 29 HC STEP-2 Pegasus deb April 25.6 26302 00- 21 B Progress M1-2 Soyuz r April 27.45 23834 96- 19 B GPS 2-25 Delta 2 r1 April 27.56 24113 94- 29 FL STEP-2 Pegasus deb April 28.3 Note 1 24033 94- 29 CE STEP-2 Pegasus deb April 29.0 Note 1 22033 92- 41 D Insat 2A Spelda April 30 24187 94- 29 JN STEP-2 Pegasus deb April 30 25056 64- 26 J Transit 9 deb May 4 Note 2 4029 61- 15 JR Transit 4A deb May 5 23996 94- 29 AR STEP-2 Pegasus deb May 5 3962 68- 91 BW Cosmos 249 deb May 7 17769 78- 26 HB Landsat 3 Delta 1 deb May 8 22580 93- 16 H Cosmos 2237 Zenit deb May 9 24694 94- 29 ABC STEP-2 Pegasus deb May 9 25033 89- 85 D USA 47 deb May 9 12180 78- 26 V Landsat 3 Delta 1 deb May 10 22470 92- 93 FK Cosmos 2227 Zenit deb May 11 603 63- 22 B Scout X-3 r May 12 10135 77- 61 B Cosmos 925 r May 13 26085 00- 8 E Globalstar A Delta r May 13 26114 00- 17 B IMAGE Delta 2 r1 May 13 20338 89- 94 A Molniya 3-36 May 14? 24234 94- 29 LH STEP-2 Pegasus deb May 15 22726 93- 48 D Insat 2B Spelda May 17 25235 98- 12 C SNOE Pegasus r May 17 24998 94- 29 ADF STEP-2 Pegasus deb May 19 4006 61- 15 JL Transit 4A deb May 24 4985 70- 25 HF Thorad Agena D deb May 24 4624 70- 91 D Cosmos 375 deb May 26 24377 94- 29 QE STEP-2 Pegasus deb May 27 13576 78- 26 FP Landsat 3 Delta 1 deb May 28 24147 94- 29 GW STEP-2 Pegasus deb May 28 19390 87- 20 BW Cosmos 1823 deb May 29 14411 68- 91 CM Cosmos 249 deb May 30 22402 92- 93 CT Cosmos 2227 Zenit deb May 31 23858 96- 27 B SAX Centaur r June 1 24211 96- 44 D Italsat 2 Spelda June 1 24262 94- 29 MM STEP-2 Pegasus deb June 1 10860 78- 45 A Cosmos 1005 June 2 24175 94- 29 JA STEP-2 Pegasus deb June 2 14555 81- 53 JN Cosmos 1275 deb June 3 22542 92- 93 HC Cosmos 2227 Zenit deb June 3 24093 94- 29 EQ STEP-2 Pegasus deb June 3 24771 97- 16 D Thaicom 3 Spelda June 4 17206 86- 19 BJ SPOT 1 r deb June 5 8092 72- 58 DT Landsat 1 Delta 1 deb June 6 11629 79- 99 A Cosmos 1145 June 6 24216 94- 29 KP STEP-2 Pegasus deb June 6 3566 68- 97 S Cosmos 252 deb June 7 23782 96- 7 B NSTAR 2 Ariane 44LP+3 r June 8 24982 94- 29 ACQ STEP-2 Pegasus deb June 8? 25939 79-104 M CAT 1 Ariane 1 deb June 8 1721 65- 82 CC OV2-1/LCS2 deb June 9 23502 95- 8 B Cosmos 2306 r June 9 20339 89- 94 B Molniya 3-36 r June 10? 22507 92- 93 GS Cosmos 2227 Zenit deb June 10 11268 79- 12 A Cosmos 1077 June 14 25739 99- 26 E Terriers adapter cone June 24 21025 90-112 F Raduga 26 aux motor June 25 25123 97- 85 A Early Bird June 27 16934 86- 68 A Molniya 1-68 July 2? 10362 77- 91 A Cosmos 955 July 13967 83- 25 D Molniya 1-57 r2 July 20698 90- 61 F Cosmos 2085 aux motor July 23941 96- 37 B TOMS r July 24321 96- 56 C GPS 2-27 Delta 2 r2 July 24878 97- 35 C GPS 2R-2 r2 (PAM-D) July 25310 98- 23 E Globalstar 6 Delta r August 25995 99- 68 B Terra Centaur r August 23549 95- 18 A Ofeq 3 September 25032 97- 67 C GPS 2-28 Delta 2 r2 September 25470 98- 51 D Iridium 79 September 25547 98- 68 B Bonum Delta 2 r September 20255 89- 78 A Molniya 1-76 October 20399 89-101 E Cosmos 2054 aux mot October 23501 95- 8 A Cosmos 2306 October 25125 97- 85 B Early Bird r October 25529 98- 66 C Iridium 85 October Notes 1. SpaceCom has yet to confirm this decay. 2. No recent elsets. 3. The decay of #26244 (SESat Proton r) was observed over India. Alan -- Alan Pickup | COSPAR 2707: 55d53m48.7s N 3d11m51.2s W 156m asl Edinburgh | Tel: +44 (0)131 477 9144 Fax: +44 (0)870 0520750 Scotland | SatEvo page: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/ ----------------------------------------------------------------- Unsubscribe from SeeSat-L by sending a message with 'unsubscribe' in the SUBJECT to SeeSat-L-request@lists.satellite.eu.org http://www2.satellite.eu.org/seesat/seesatindex.html
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