#23834 = 96- 19 B = GPS 2-25 Delta 2 rocket My current decay estimate is for Apr 27 13:34 +-4h near 28.3 S, 74.5 E. This still shows it decaying while northbound over the Indian Ocean as it nears the end of the final predicted orbit: GPS 2-25 r1 5.9 2.4 0.0 5.0 v 12 138 x 136 km 1 23834U 96019B 00118.51420412 .55013183 31939+1 54826-3 0 98654 2 23834 35.0261 183.8942 0001832 87.0776 272.9433 16.50890849228836 SpaceCom's latest estimate places decay a little further along at Apr 27 13:55 +-9h near 8.6 N, 132.3 E. This point lies to the SE of the Philippines after it passes over Indonesia. The rocket makes a pass across the USA from the N of Los Angeles at 12:45 UTC to the S of Houston at 12:50. #26302 = 00- 21 B = Progress M1-2 Soyuz rocket Against the prediction I posted yesterday, this was running 12 seconds early at the epoch of the latest elset: PrgM1-2 Soyuz r 6.0 3.0 0.0 5.0 d 15 166 x 151 km 1 26302U 00021B 00118.24000507 .23543791 12480-4 92579-3 0 173 2 26302 51.6301 158.2405 0011760 89.3627 270.8749 16.42877537 238 My current estimate is for the decay to occur at Apr 27 10:51 +-90m over the equator at 41.5 W. This is very close to SpaceCom's estimate of Apr 27 10:55 +-4h at 0.3 S, 41.2 W, being near a southbound equator crossing off the NE coast of Brazil. A little earlier it crosses eastwards over N America, passing N of Vancouver at 10:30 UTC, N of Minneapolis at 10:35, over Detroit at 10:37 and Washington DC at 10:39. My prediction for the final rev: PrgM1-2 Soyuz r 6.0 3.0 0.0 5.0 d 15 131 x 124 km 1 26302U 00021B 00118.42197323 .75665394 54183+1 42145-3 0 90172 2 26302 51.6270 157.2012 0005552 90.1384 269.9252 16.54392913 262 See http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/dkwatch/ for more. Alan -- Alan Pickup | COSPAR 2707: 55d53m48.7s N 3d11m51.2s W 156m asl Edinburgh | Tel: +44 (0)131 477 9144 Fax: +44 (0)870 0520750 Scotland | SatEvo page: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/ ----------------------------------------------------------------- Unsubscribe from SeeSat-L by sending a message with 'unsubscribe' in the SUBJECT to SeeSat-L-request@lists.satellite.eu.org http://www2.satellite.eu.org/seesat/seesatindex.html
This archive was generated by hypermail 2b29 : Thu Apr 27 2000 - 00:40:13 PDT