#15983 = 85- 74 D = Molniya 1-64 r2
Against the prediction I posted yesterday, the final elset...
Moln 1-64 SL-6 r2 483 x 96 km
1 15983U 85074D 00110.98690619 .99999999 74262-5 15433-2 0 3103
2 15983 62.2289 121.2819 0290353 259.7375 203.7618 15.94720660113698
...has this running 62 seconds early. My prediction for the final
northbound equator crossing is:
Moln 1-64 SL-6 r2 310 x 79 km
1 15983U 85074D 00111.03072044 4.45108769 43621+2 13078-2 0 93077
2 15983 62.2185 121.1454 0175611 262.5765 95.4247 16.29237117113706
Decay was most likely over the SE Indian Ocean on the approach towards
perigee on this rev. My analysis gives Apr 20 01:42 UTC -5m+15m at 47.1
S, 101.3 E. SpaceCom puts is slightly earlier at Apr 20 01:38 +-7m near
34.9 S, 89.5 E.
#20704 = 90- 54 E = Gorizont 20 aux motor
SpaceCom has released its first warning for this, predicting the decay
for Apr 23 10:24 +-2d at 28.5 N. 70.6 W. I show a much later decay at
Apr 25 05:17 +-1.3d. This enters eclipse while southbound near 31 deg S
at ~19:00 local time. Eclipse exit occurs northbound and close to the
equator at ~05:00 local time. The latest elset is:
Gorznt 20 aux motor 1144 x 115 km
1 20704U 90054E 00110.96227848 .07568558 77444-5 26162-3 0 1873
2 20704 46.5531 283.8978 0733748 306.2771 47.2299 14.79998543113087
More details on my Decay Watch page at
http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/dkwatch/
Alan
--
Alan Pickup | COSPAR 2707: 55d53m48.7s N 3d11m51.2s W 156m asl
Edinburgh | Tel: +44 (0)131 477 9144 Fax: +44 (0)870 0520750
Scotland | SatEvo page: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/
-----------------------------------------------------------------
Unsubscribe from SeeSat-L by sending a message with 'unsubscribe'
in the SUBJECT to SeeSat-L-request@lists.satellite.eu.org
http://www2.satellite.eu.org/seesat/seesatindex.html
This archive was generated by hypermail 2b29 : Thu Apr 20 2000 - 01:15:07 PDT