I have just updated my Decay Watch page at http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/dkwatch/ with more detailed predictions for the following two decayers. #15983 = 85- 74 D = Molniya 1-64 r2 I show this decaying at Apr 20 01:52 UTC +-8h near 57.1 S, 169.9 W, as it tracks eastwards over the SW corner of the Pacific, to the S and SE of New Zealand. The uncertainty is still several orbits. SpaceCom estimates the decay for one orbit later at Apr 20 03:43 +-1d near 58.6 S, 157.6 E. The latest elset is... Moln 1-64 SL-6 r2 1991 x 85 km 1 15983U 85074D 00109.51517308 .48922404 16742-4 61486-3 0 2921 2 15983 62.2304 126.0667 1284810 261.2059 84.2771 13.59339591113486 ...and my prediction for the final rev reads: Moln 1-64 SL-6 r2 321 x 77 km 1 15983U 85074D 00111.02879501 3.96153055 24563+2 10197-2 0 92928 2 15983 62.1266 121.1004 0185566 261.6772 96.2147 16.27786315113709 ______________________________ #26244 = 00- 19 B = SESat Proton r This is a morning object as it emerges from eclipse near 52 deg N at about 03:00 local time. Eclipse entry occurs as it tracks northwards near 40 deg s at ~18:00 local time. I predict the decay for Apr 19 18:10 +-5h near 25.0 S, 19.7 E which has it a northbound pass over Namibia as it heads towards an equator crossing near Nairobi, Kenya, near the end of the final predicted orbit above. SpaceCom puts the decay one rev later at Apr 19 19:49 +-15h at 0.9 N, 17.5 E. The latest elset: SESat Proton r 181 x 174 km 1 26244U 00019B 00109.72828062 .03684803 12294-4 43880-3 0 107 2 26244 51.6440 167.6195 0005781 295.9895 64.0608 16.35674872 141 My prediction for the final rev (many other predicted elsets on my Decay Watch page): SESat Proton r 128 x 126 km 1 26244U 00019B 00110.70204566 .41545080 17122+1 22276-3 0 90105 2 26244 51.6387 162.1009 0001849 300.1047 59.8769 16.54797420 308 Alan -- Alan Pickup | COSPAR 2707: 55d53m48.7s N 3d11m51.2s W 156m asl Edinburgh | Tel: +44 (0)131 477 9144 Fax: +44 (0)870 0520750 Scotland | SatEvo page: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/ ----------------------------------------------------------------- Unsubscribe from SeeSat-L by sending a message with 'unsubscribe' in the SUBJECT to SeeSat-L-request@lists.satellite.eu.org http://www2.satellite.eu.org/seesat/seesatindex.html
This archive was generated by hypermail 2b29 : Tue Apr 18 2000 - 13:20:20 PDT