RE: Feng Yun 1C r brightness

From: Ted Molczan (molczan@home.com)
Date: Fri Apr 14 2000 - 08:32:50 PDT

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    Robert Fenske wrote:
    
    > 	Yes I believe its standard magnitude is too bright.  I
    > tried naked
    > eye observations of it last summer and never saw it.  I
    > reported such in
    > the message
    > http://www2.satellite.eu.org/seesat/Jun-1999/0077.html.  I
    > haven't looked for it since then so I don't have an idea of
    > how bright it
    > really is, though I suppose if it's the same kind of rocket
    > as the others
    > (#19468 and #20791) its standard mag should be around 6 (not 3.5).
    
    This discussion has prompted me to review my data. My software had estimated
    the standard magnitude at 6.2, based upon the object's dimensions at launch;
    however, it broke up soon after launch. Judging by its RCS of 10.4 m^2, the D
    piece must be quite a large chunk of the original rocket.
    
    I have searched Russell Eberst's observations, and found six since Nov'96.
    Though it is a small data set, it is fairly consistent, and indicates a std
    magnitude of 6.6. Using this value, the greatest deviation between Russell's
    observations and prediction was only 0.4 magnitudes.
    
    Here is a recent elset with the observation-based std mag:
    
    Feng Yun 1-2 r   1.9  2.9  0.0  6.6 v 10.4
    1 20791U 90081D   00096.90782038  .00000371  00000-0  32191-3 0  3443
    2 20791  99.1348  57.9592 0053894 144.8041 215.6705 13.91831558487226
    
    Ted Molczan
    
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