Decay watch: Soyuz TM-30 r decay imminent

From: Alan Pickup (alan@wingar.demon.co.uk)
Date: Tue Apr 04 2000 - 23:50:40 PDT

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    just updated on my Decay Watch page...
    
    
    Object: #26117 = 00- 018 B = Soyuz TM-30 Soyuz rocket
    
    Notice prepared: 2000 April 5 06:45 UTC
    
    Decay predictions:
    Source   Prediction made    Predicted decay at      Latitude Longitude
                   UTC                UTC                  deg      deg
    
    SpaceCom   Apr  4 16:08     Apr  5 04:01 +-8h        51.7 S    66.7 W
    SpaceCom   Apr  5 01:26     Apr  5 07:53 +-5h        27.2 N   117.2 E
    SpaceCom   Apr  5 05:57     Apr  5 07:54 +-1h        24.6 N   119.6 E
    
    SatEvo     Apr  4 17:45     Apr  5 03:14 +-4h
    SatEvo     Apr  4 21:45     Apr  5 17:54 +-6h        47.9 N    73.5 W
    SatEvo     Apr  5 06:45     Apr  5 07:36 +-1h        51.8 N    58.8 E
    
    Latest elset:
    Soyuz TM-30 r    6.0  3.0  0.0  5.0 d 17.0       145 x 141 km
    1 26117U 00018B   00096.23953704  .29027707  12640-4  42509-3 0   102
    2 26117  51.6589 272.5311 0002686  93.1327 260.2799 16.48691617   162
    
    SatEvo prediction:
    Soyuz TM-30 r    6.0  3.0  0.0  5.0 d 17.0       122 x 120 km
    1 26117U 00018B   00096.30112834 1.18265266  30492+2  47406-3 0 90106
    2 26117  51.6567 272.1770 0001447  93.3964 266.6202 16.56863246   174
    
    Note: This should decay in the next hour or two, possibly, as SpaceCom
    predicts, as it travels SE-wards over China and Taiwan on the SatEvo-
    predicted orbit above. That orbit takes it northbound over the 
    equator near Kampala, Kenya, at 07:25 UTC, over Aden at 07:29, 
    and onwards to northern apex over S Russia which is where I place decay.
    It then moves SE across China to SpaceCom's decay point and onwards
    to a southbound equator crossing just N of New Guinea. It would reach
    the N Island of New Zealand at 08:10.
    
    
    Alan
    -- 
     Alan Pickup | COSPAR 2707:  55d53m48.7s N  3d11m51.2s W   156m asl
     Edinburgh   | Tel: +44 (0)131 477 9144     Fax: +44 (0)870 0520750
     Scotland    | SatEvo page:   http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/
    
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    This archive was generated by hypermail 2b29 : Tue Apr 04 2000 - 23:53:33 PDT