Decay watch: 2000 Apr 4

From: Alan Pickup (alan@wingar.demon.co.uk)
Date: Tue Apr 04 2000 - 09:33:05 PDT

  • Next message: Patrick Curran: "Elset Request"

    #20966 = 90-104 A = Cosmos 2106
    
    My new estimate for this decay is Apr 7 15:52 UTC +-18h. The latest
    elset..
    
    Cosmos 2106      4.0  2.0  0.0  6.2 d   10       219 x 214 km
    1 20966U 90104A   00095.47020217  .01820340 -11893-5  88590-3 0  5146
    2 20966  82.4603  99.2393 0004073 213.2706 146.8510 16.21174386524418
    
    ..has it running only 0.8 sec early against yesterday's prediction. The
    slightly later decay estimate is due to my adopting a slightly different
    atmospheric density profile which gives the best fit over recent days
    and is more in line with the current high level of solar activity. In
    its latest warning, SpaceCom continues to estimate a later decay at
    Apr 7 22:26 +-2d.
    
    See http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/dkwatch/ for more detailed
    predictions and thanks to everyone for the reports of this page's
    visibility.
    
    Alan
    -- 
     Alan Pickup | COSPAR 2707:  55d53m48.7s N  3d11m51.2s W   156m asl
     Edinburgh   | Tel: +44 (0)131 477 9144     Fax: +44 (0)870 0520750
     Scotland    | SatEvo page:   http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/
    
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