Re: Decay of #24503 = 96- 58 F (SL-12 r aux motor)

Alan Pickup (alan@wingar.demon.co.uk)
Mon, 28 Apr 1997 22:48:15 +0100

The latest OIG elset for this decaying object is:
SL-12 r (aux motor)                              2518 x 106 km
1 24503U 96058F   97118.34087187  .41777431  19588-4  15054-2 0  2614
2 24503  46.8810 165.5204 1568272 113.4012 264.1248 12.87491833  7065
which is 168 seconds early with respect to the predition I posted
yesterday. I'd hoped for a more up-to-date elset on which to anchor my
latest SatEvo evolution, and no doubt one will appear just as I post
this.

The following evolution satisfies 8 elsets since epoch 97117.13 with a
mean residual of 5 seconds and a maximum residual of 15 seconds. Decay
is now predicted for April 30.4. To predict from these elsets, extract
the elset closest to the time of visibility and feed it to your pet
prediction program. Note that day 97119 is April 29 and that 97119.5 is
12h UT on day. With its high drag, don't expect it to be on time...
SL-12 r (aux motor)                              2040 x 106 km
1 24503U 96058F   97119.02291239  .52572294  75995-1  16477-2 0 92617
2 24503  46.8548 162.8647 1297940 115.9981 257.9302 13.49926815  7150
SL-12 r (aux motor)                              1610 x 106 km
1 24503U 96058F   97119.52953580  .69163794  15795+0  18742-2 0 92612
2 24503  46.8324 160.6990 1039250 118.1183 252.7683 14.10566847  7223
SL-12 r (aux motor)                              1083 x 106 km
1 24503U 96058F   97120.01174646 1.04737708  46374+0  22376-2 0 92613
2 24503  46.8039 158.4142 0700782 120.3577 246.7546 14.91237145  7299

Alan
-- 
 Alan Pickup | COSPAR site 2707:  55d53m48.7s N   3d11m51.2s W  156m asl
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