SatEvo decay list #3

Alan Pickup (alan@wingar.demon.co.uk)
Thu, 18 Apr 1996 16:10:37 +0100

SatEvo decay list #3

Here are my updated and extended SatEvo decay predictions.
The "Actual?" decay times are estimated from the final available 
elements.

      #    Designation    Name             -------- Decay --------
                                           Predicted       Actual?

    23843   96- 21 B   Astra 1F r                        April 10.8
    23844   96- 21 C   SL-12 platform                    April 14.25
    23633   95- 39 B   Interbol 1 r1                     April 14.35
    23510   95-  8 F   Cosmos 2306 deb                   April 16.9?
    15489   85-  7 F   SL-12 r aux motor   April 19.8
    23509   95-  8 E   Cosmos 2306 deb     April 24
    23073   88- 89 BU  Cobe deb            April 25
    23803   96- 13 B   Polar r             May    1
    22479   92- 93 FU  SL-16 deb           May    1
    20013   77-121 BV  Cosmos 970 deb      May    2
    23336   94- 72 A   Cosmos 2293         May   13
    23559   86- 17 JF  GFZ 1 deb           May   19
    11791   80- 32 B   Atlas F r           May   20
    23459   94- 87 E   SL-12 r aux motor   May   22
    13786   83-  6 B   N-2 r1              May   24
    18872   77- 65 FW  Delta 1 deb         May   25
    20042   89- 41 C   Ariane 44L r        June  11
    23583   95- 20 C   Progress-M 27 deb   June  12

    Note. NASA are predicting the decay of #23059 = 89- 89 BE
          (COBE deb) on May 9, yet the latest OIG element for this 
          object is somewhat dated at epoch 94266.55.

Alan
-- 
 Alan Pickup | Home lat. 55d53m48.7s N | Royal Observatory, Blackford
 Edinburgh   |      long. 3d11m51.2s W |      Hill, Edinburgh EH9 3HJ
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